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2024-12-13 05:53:27

Australia's unemployment rate in November was 3.93%, which is estimated to be 4.2%.South Korea's finance minister said that he would pay close attention to the financial market and respond to boost investor sentiment when necessary.Huatai Securities looks forward to the communication industry in 2025: embrace the trend of AI/ satellite industry and allocate core assets. When looking forward to the communication industry in 2025, Huatai Securities said that it is optimistic about three main investment lines: 1) Continue to embrace the industry trend, and with the progress of commercialization of AI computing chain and satellite Internet, we are optimistic about investment opportunities in related sub-sectors; 2) New quality productivity: low-altitude industries or the opening of provincial and municipal infrastructure construction, the domestic quantum communication industry is expected to go from 0 to 1, and the commercial aviation scene will be accelerated; 3) revaluation of core assets: with the improvement of market liquidity, leading enterprises with long-term competitiveness and performance toughness are expected to usher in opportunities for valuation improvement; In addition, the merger and reorganization of central state-owned enterprises is expected to promote more high-quality enterprises to complete the process of capitalization and play a positive role in the valuation of the sector.


Hong Kong suspended the import of poultry meat and poultry products from Ehime Prefecture, Japan. On December 11th, the Center for Food Safety of the Food and Environmental Hygiene Department of Hong Kong announced that in response to the notification from the Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries of Japan that highly pathogenic H5 avian influenza broke out in Ehime Prefecture, Japan, the Center immediately instructed the industry to suspend the import of poultry meat and poultry products (including eggs) from this area to protect public health in Hong Kong. A spokesman for the Centre said that according to the information of the Census and Statistics Department, Hong Kong imported about 2,000 metric tons of frozen poultry meat and 227.42 million eggs from Japan in the first nine months of this year. The spokesman said: "The Center has contacted the Japanese authorities on the incident and will continue to pay close attention to the news of the outbreak of avian influenza issued by the World Organization for Animal Health and relevant authorities, and take appropriate actions in response to the development of the local epidemic."CITIC Securities: Potential policies such as consumer vouchers are expected to give birth to a staged turning point in catering demand. According to the research report of CITIC Securities, domestic consumer demand has been sluggish since 2023, and the price of the catering industry has entered a downward channel. How will China catering enterprises behave at this moment? The experience of Japanese restaurant enterprises may provide some enlightenment. Although the differences between macro and national conditions prevent China from simply repeating the price war of Japanese catering and its impact, the catering competition in high-speed cities in China is similar to that in Japan in structure. The research report believes that the change of restaurant supply and CPI performance can be used as a forward-looking indicator to judge when the current price war will end, while potential policies such as consumer vouchers are expected to give birth to catering demand and form a stage turning point. Two main lines are recommended: 1) Mature catering enterprises pay attention to the same-store sales and valuation improvement brought about by the rebound of CPI, while enterprises with serious decline in same-store sales before have higher performance and valuation resilience. 2) Growing catering enterprises pay more attention to the rhythm of income growth and profit release.Russia says it controls two settlements in Kursk, and the Ukrainian army says it will continue to hold its ground. On the 11th, local time, the Russian Defense Ministry reported that in the past day, Russian troops had taken control of Darinot and Plekhovo settlements in Kursk region. The circular also stated that the Ukrainian armed forces used six US-made Army tactical missiles on the same day to launch an attack on a military airport in Rostov, southern Russia. The falling of missile fragments caused personal injury, but no other serious losses were caused. Russia will respond to this attack. On the same day, the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces issued a battle report, saying that there were 140 battles in the frontline area that day, and the Ukrainian army continued to hold its ground and fully blocked the Russian army. Among them, the fighting in Pokrovsk and Kulahovo is the fiercest, and fighting continues in some areas. In addition, Sumeizhou and Chernigov continue to be attacked by Russian air. In the Kursk region, the Ukrainian army repelled 15 Russian attacks.


A special police camp in Grozny, the capital of the Chechen Republic of Russia, was attacked by drones. Russian military media said that a special police camp in Grozny, the capital of the Chechen Republic, was attacked by Ukrainian drones in the early hours of the 12 th. Up to now, the Ukrainian side has not responded.The US dollar just broke through the 7.2700 yuan mark against the offshore RMB, and the latest price was 7.2698 yuan, down 0.10% in the day.CICC: Inflation in the United States may push the "hawks to cut interest rates". The CICC research report said that inflation data opened the door for the Fed to cut interest rates next week, but we also predicted that the "hawks to cut interest rates" will be staged next week, and the Fed may cut the guidance on interest rate cuts in the bitmap. We predict that the new bitmap will show that the total interest rate will be cut twice in 2025 (compared with four times before), and the federal funds rate will be lowered to a neutral level of 3.75% to 4% by the end of the second quarter of next year.

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